Asia in 2012

A week ago began the year 2012, to leap, is the year of water dragon in the Chinese calendar. It will be a year of great changes and transformations, momentous events in the economic, political, geopolitical and geostrategic, across the globe, but especially in Asia. Elections, emergence of new leaderships, revival and strengthening of other, conflicts for political reasons, markets and resources. Economically, the region will be of greater growth, despite the fact that the crisis will continue in the US and Europe.

January 14, there will be presidential and legislative elections in Taiwan. Compete with three candidates and proposals. The current President Ma Ying-jeou, Kuomintang Party (KMT), and his main contender, Tsai Ing-wen of the progressive democratic party (PDP), appear virtually evenly matched in the last polls, in just a few days. One of the two will be President.

in China, between March u000aand October there will be major changes, it will be the transition from the fourth to the fifth generation of leadership, Hu Jintao and Wen Jiabao Xi Jinping and Li Keqiang. In March meets the national people's Assembly (APN) and in October occurs in XXVIII Congress of the Communist Party of China (CCP), the two main forums of decision making in China.

In March, there will be presidential elections in Russia, where Putin seeks to return. In Korea of the South, one of the stronger Asian economies, there will be parliamentary elections in April and presidential in December, that between May and August will be the "Expo Yeosu 2012", an international exhibition which will have as its central theme "Oceans and coasts full of life". About Korea of the North with its new leader, the younger Kim Jong - un is unpredictable. In India, the largest democracy in the world, it convened in July to almost 800 million people, to elect its new President. But in addition, u000aThere will be parliamentary elections in Iran, Mongolia, Georgia, Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan.

Without slighting the importance of elections, and possible changes of leadership in the world, I think vital to follow up on some bilateral relations, some conflicts that exist for religious, cultural reasons, or for resources in dispute. The most important bilateral relationship of all: China and the US. What involves Iran, the Koreas, Russia, Japan, the countries of Central Asia, the countries of the sea of China Southern.

Must follow up a conflict that passes the 6 decades, the árabe-judío, or Palestinian-Israeli. Since last year, as a consequence or part of the so-called "Arab spring", there is a conflict in Syria, Western Asia, to which we must pay attention, because there are many actors involved.

We ended last year and started this with a conflict in the Persian Gulf, especially in the Straits of u000aHormuz, which controls Iran, which threatens to close if they continue the sanctions by the United States and the European Union. The White House and the Pentagon have said that the closure of the Strait is a declaration of war, because there are transported to the 17th million of crude oil, one-third of world production of this fossil fuel. We all know that very close this Strait, America has its V Naval fleet, based in Bahrain, nor is it secret to anyone that Iran has Russia and China as allies. I insist and hope for good, it is time to Asia.

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