It heats luchapor votes

Missing almost four months for the election of 20 may, the political parties face as main challenges breaking the barrier of 50 percent plus one imposed by the Constitution to succeed in the first round, partnerships with other minority forces and overcome the spell of the Division that haunts many of these organizations.

according to all polls published so farthe national political scene has been polarized by the candidacies of Danilo Medina of the Party of Dominican Liberation (LDP), Hipólito Mejía, of the Revolucionario Dominicano (PRD), who face for the second time in a few elections. However, a group of emerging parties boosts efforts to reach an agreement to present a single candidate, which does not awaken major expectations.

The most contested perception is that win in this contest will finally depend on candidate that u000ato achieve qualitative and quantitative, partnerships on the basis that no party individually has managed to exceed the maximum required for the first round of voting, since that was established in the constitutional reform of 1994.

In 1996 required a second round of voting between José Francisco Peña Gómez of the PRD and Leonel Fernandez for the LDP which won with the support of the PRSC. Although in 2000, Hipólito Mejía, the PRD and allies, won in the first round (49.87), was due to an agreement between the other two candidates who obtained the second and third place, Danilo Medina of the LDP, and Joaquin Balaguer, of the PRSC. Medina resigned to stand for a second round to not receive the backing of the reformist leader.

In the 2004 and 2008 elections, President Fernandez triumphed in the first round backed by a group of minority parties, as in none of the cases the LDP had exceeded 50%. In fact, in 2004 its u000avote was 49.02% and 11 allies supported the candidacy of Fernandez reached the 57.11%, while in 2008 the purple party saw 44.94% and its final vote with the allies reached a 53.83%.

The PRD does not emerge from the crisis
after waging an internal epic March 6, as all the conventions that celebrates this organization, the President of the PRD, Miguel Vargas, and its candidate, Hipólito Mejía, maintain a tense internal confrontation that stretches over ten months without flare immediately an agreement that allows to solve the crisis. Please note that these inconsistencies affect the growth of the candidacy of Mejía.

In reconciliation efforts involving leaders and friends, including meetings held at the residence of the brother of Vargas, Tony Rivera, in the Arroyo Hondo sector, with the mediation of Nelson Espinal. prior to it the former President of Panama and leader u000athe Socialist International, Martín Torrijos, met with Mejía and Vargas, but his efforts were unsuccessful and left the country leaving a letter that urged them unify to lead to power his party.

Trend
given the impossibility that the PRSC will lead a candidate, only warns on the scene a Division, and the institutional part of the party would support the LDP.

Voting
alliances of major parties with emerging due to the close difference separating them have been decisive in presidential elections.

PLD with a good record
theu000du000a ruling party of Dominican Liberation (LDP), which managed to form a solid electoral ballot with Danilo Medina and First Lady Margarita Cedeño de Fernández, ahead the challenge of maintaining the victorious route which began in 1996 with President Leonel Fernández.

Route stopped in u000a2000 with the defeat of Danilo Medina to Hipólito Mejía and continued with Fernandez in 2004, who won the repostulación de Mejía, and the 2008 with the triumph of the re-election of Fernandez before Miguel Vargas. Also included are the victories in congressional elections and municipal ofu000du000a 2006 and 2010.

Medina would require the consolidation of its presence in the town voter and the Alliance of new political forces, on the basis of the obvious difficulties of the candidates to win in the first round on an individual basis.

A uncertain compact
in spite of which held a Summit on December 10, the situation of Alliance between emerging parties, seeking to bring a single candidate, is increasingly uncertain. Intention Protocol signed there by the Frente Amplio, the institutional democratic party, the Alliance for democracy and Dominicans for the change was apparently excluded to u000aWilliamu000du000a Moreno and Alliance country, who said he was not invited. Ismael Reyes, PDI, left that party block because by the end of the yearu000du000a They were not chosen presidential and vice presidential candidates. Others do not accept sacrificing their aspirations.

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